The Second Leg of Demand is Threatened Google

An article in the last week caught my attention:

Asia to cut subsidies as oil hits $135

By Kathrin Hille in Taipei, in Singapore and Raphael Minder in Hong Kong

Published: May 22 2008

on Thursday moved to cut to protect their finances and those of state-owned energy companies in the face of soaring oil prices. As crude oil pushed through $135 a barrel for the first time, Taiwan, Malaysia and Indonesia announced plans for urgent action to free prices or cut . China denied rumours of an imminent increase in retail prices, but may relax price controls.”

I wrote about the beginning of the end of subsidies in my blog post from May 13. As consumers in Asia begin to pay higher or even market prices for gasoline and other , the effect on demand will be staggering. This process will not occur overnight but will eventually filter its way into the overly optimistic in .

Article Highlights

Taiwan

“In Taiwan, the first act of the newly elected administration of President Ma Ying-jeou was to abolish price controls on petrol and diesel from June 1. The new government also said it would raise in July.”

Malaysia

“Malaysia said it would soon announce a new to keep its fuel at around last year’s level of M$40bn ($12.5bn) in spite of ….also suggested that the government would take the unpopular step of raising . “If there is a rise in the price of [natural] gas, we will have to pass that along, since we are not going to see Tenaga [the state ] lose money,” he said.”

Indonesia

“The Indonesian government said it would “soon” go ahead with a plan to raise fuel prices by an average of 28.7 per cent.”

China

“The Chinese government said that stock of an imminent increase in prices were “groundless”. However, analysts forecast that Beijing would eventually endorse subsidy cuts.”

Full Article

Other countries not discussed in this article are also ending subsidies:

“Egypt – the most populous Arab state – has raised petrol prices by 40pc, despite protests in Cairo.

“Sri Lanka lifted diesel and petrol prices by 25pc over the weekend.”

“India may have to follow soon to prevent its trade and budget deficits climbing to dangerous levels. “The situation is alarming. We need to stem the rot,” said India’s energy secretary, MS Srinivasan.”

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